Johnson Royals 51, South Carolina Upstate Spartans 82
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-04 · Winner: South Carolina Upstate Spartans
South Carolina Upstate Spartans defeated Johnson Royals 82–51 on 2026-11-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 31-point result. A 15-0 home team run ending at Q3 1:43 swung win probability 98% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Johnson Royals lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnson Royals | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 51 |
| South Carolina Upstate Spartans | 27 | 12 | 27 | 16 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 home team run ending at Q3 1:43 swung win probability 98% → 100%.
Why Johnson Royals lost
- Lost Q3 4-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q3 1:43 (win probability 98% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 22-16.
- Outscored 22-11 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 21-11.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina Upstate Spartans | 15–0 | Q3 1:43 | 98% → 100% |
| South Carolina Upstate Spartans | 8–0 | Q3 0:03 | 100% → 100% |