Stanislaus State Warriors 46, Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 75
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-03 · Winner: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners defeated Stanislaus State Warriors 75–46 on 2026-11-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 29-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:12 swung win probability 55% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Stanislaus State Warriors lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanislaus State Warriors | 13 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 46 |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 22 | 16 | 25 | 12 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:12 swung win probability 55% → 86%.
Why Stanislaus State Warriors lost
- Lost Q3 12-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 5:12 (win probability 55% → 86% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 25-21.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 10–0 | Q1 5:12 | 55% → 86% |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 8–0 | Q2 0:40 | 93% → 100% |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 8–0 | Q3 7:48 | 99% → 100% |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 8–0 | Q3 4:33 | 100% → 100% |