Lafayette Leopards 37, St. John's Red Storm 95
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-02 · Winner: St. John's Red Storm
St. John's Red Storm defeated Lafayette Leopards 95–37 on 2026-11-02 in NCAA Women's play, a 58-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:53 swung win probability 75% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Lafayette Leopards lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lafayette Leopards | 9 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37 |
| St. John's Red Storm | 18 | 22 | 30 | 25 | 95 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:53 swung win probability 75% → 93%.
Why Lafayette Leopards lost
- Lost Q3 12-30 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q3 3:09 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 29.2% eFG vs a 46.7% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 26-11.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 8–0 | Q1 2:53 | 75% → 93% |
| St. John's Red Storm | 13–0 | Q3 9:17 | 94% → 100% |
| St. John's Red Storm | 17–0 | Q3 3:09 | 100% → 100% |
| St. John's Red Storm | 12–0 | Q4 4:29 | 100% → 100% |