Jessup Warriors 42, UC Davis Aggies 82
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-02 · Winner: UC Davis Aggies
UC Davis Aggies defeated Jessup Warriors 82–42 on 2026-11-02 in NCAA Women's play, a 40-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:23 swung win probability 96% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Jessup Warriors lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessup Warriors | 11 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 42 |
| UC Davis Aggies | 18 | 10 | 27 | 27 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:23 swung win probability 96% → 100%.
Why Jessup Warriors lost
- Lost Q3 7-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q3 2:23 (win probability 96% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-10.
- Outscored 15-4 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-4.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | 12–0 | Q3 2:23 | 96% → 100% |
| UC Davis Aggies | 10–0 | Q4 5:15 | 100% → 100% |