Denver Pioneers 45, Air Force Falcons 66
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-02 · Winner: Air Force Falcons
Air Force Falcons defeated Denver Pioneers 66–45 on 2026-11-02 in NCAA Women's play, a 21-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 1:44 swung win probability 83% → 50%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Denver Pioneers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Pioneers | 11 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 45 |
| Air Force Falcons | 12 | 15 | 20 | 19 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 1:44 swung win probability 83% → 50%.
Why Denver Pioneers lost
- Lost Q3 9-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 3:37 (win probability 64% → 97% for the home side).
- Shot 31.6% eFG vs a 39.3% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 18-13.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Pioneers | 8–0 | Q2 1:44 | 83% → 50% |
| Air Force Falcons | 10–0 | Q3 3:37 | 64% → 97% |