Wagner Seahawks 34, Lafayette Leopards 88
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-05 · Winner: Lafayette Leopards
Lafayette Leopards defeated Wagner Seahawks 88–34 on 2026-11-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 54-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 7:03 swung win probability 55% → 81%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Wagner Seahawks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wagner Seahawks | 7 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 34 |
| Lafayette Leopards | 19 | 22 | 26 | 21 | 88 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 7:03 swung win probability 55% → 81%.
Why Wagner Seahawks lost
- Lost Q2 7-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q2 1:41 (win probability 95% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 26.7% eFG vs a 38.1% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 28-18.
- Outscored 24-3 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lafayette Leopards | 8–0 | Q1 7:03 | 55% → 81% |
| Lafayette Leopards | 11–0 | Q2 9:46 | 76% → 97% |
| Lafayette Leopards | 14–0 | Q2 1:41 | 95% → 100% |
| Lafayette Leopards | 12–0 | Q3 0:04 | 100% → 100% |
| Lafayette Leopards | 9–0 | Q4 5:54 | 100% → 100% |
| Lafayette Leopards | 10–0 | Q4 1:45 | 100% → 100% |