Bethel (MN) Royals 43, St. Thomas Tommies 77
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-04 · Winner: St. Thomas Tommies
St. Thomas Tommies defeated Bethel (MN) Royals 77–43 on 2026-11-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 34-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:54 swung win probability 55% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Bethel (MN) Royals lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bethel (MN) Royals | 4 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 43 |
| St. Thomas Tommies | 19 | 26 | 13 | 19 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:54 swung win probability 55% → 93%.
Why Bethel (MN) Royals lost
- Lost Q1 4-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 18-0 run ending at Q3 9:15 (win probability 94% → 100% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 20-12.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Thomas Tommies | 14–0 | Q1 5:54 | 55% → 93% |
| Bethel (MN) Royals | 9–0 | Q2 4:09 | 99% → 94% |
| St. Thomas Tommies | 18–0 | Q3 9:15 | 94% → 100% |