St. Thomas Tommies 59, Northern Iowa Panthers 67
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-02 · Winner: Northern Iowa Panthers
Northern Iowa Panthers defeated St. Thomas Tommies 67–59 on 2026-11-02 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:50 swung win probability 42% → 85%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why St. Thomas Tommies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Thomas Tommies | 15 | 11 | 17 | 16 | 59 |
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 14 | 14 | 22 | 17 | 67 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:50 swung win probability 42% → 85%.
Why St. Thomas Tommies lost
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 7:50 (win probability 42% → 85% for the home side).
- Outscored 18-3 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Thomas Tommies | 8–0 | Q1 3:38 | 72% → 42% |
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 12–0 | Q2 7:50 | 42% → 85% |
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 10–0 | Q3 3:24 | 64% → 97% |