Arkansas State Red Wolves 74, Ball State Cardinals 84
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-02 · Winner: Ball State Cardinals
Ball State Cardinals defeated Arkansas State Red Wolves 84–74 on 2026-11-02 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 0:04 swung win probability 41% → 77%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Arkansas State Red Wolves lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 17 | 15 | 21 | 21 | 74 |
| Ball State Cardinals | 18 | 18 | 25 | 23 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 0:04 swung win probability 41% → 77%.
Why Arkansas State Red Wolves lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 3:51 (win probability 69% → 98% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | 9–0 | Q1 6:46 | 55% → 83% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 8–0 | Q1 3:34 | 84% → 58% |
| Ball State Cardinals | 8–0 | Q2 0:04 | 41% → 77% |
| Ball State Cardinals | 10–0 | Q3 3:51 | 69% → 98% |