Central Arkansas Sugar Bears 44, Baylor Bears 72
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-05 · Winner: Baylor Bears
Baylor Bears defeated Central Arkansas Sugar Bears 72–44 on 2026-11-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 28-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:34 swung win probability 52% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Central Arkansas Sugar Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 10 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 44 |
| Baylor Bears | 16 | 18 | 15 | 23 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:34 swung win probability 52% → 84%.
Why Central Arkansas Sugar Bears lost
- Lost Q2 10-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q4 8:17 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 28.3% eFG vs a 42.3% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Bears | 10–0 | Q1 5:34 | 52% → 84% |
| Baylor Bears | 10–0 | Q3 9:48 | 84% → 99% |
| Baylor Bears | 11–0 | Q4 8:17 | 100% → 100% |
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 8–0 | Q4 0:52 | 100% → 100% |