Nicholls Colonels 44, Iowa State Cyclones 68
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-05 · Winner: Iowa State Cyclones
Iowa State Cyclones defeated Nicholls Colonels 68–44 on 2026-11-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 24-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:31 swung win probability 83% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Nicholls Colonels lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholls Colonels | 13 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 44 |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 18 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:31 swung win probability 83% → 98%.
Why Nicholls Colonels lost
- Lost Q2 10-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 2:53 (win probability 91% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 27.5% eFG vs a 36.3% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State Cyclones | 8–0 | Q2 2:31 | 83% → 98% |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 9–0 | Q3 2:53 | 91% → 100% |