Stevenson Mustangs 29, UMBC Retrievers 92
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-02 · Winner: UMBC Retrievers
UMBC Retrievers defeated Stevenson Mustangs 92–29 on 2026-11-02 in NCAA Women's play, a 63-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:13 swung win probability 66% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Stevenson Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenson Mustangs | 5 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 29 |
| UMBC Retrievers | 24 | 32 | 19 | 17 | 92 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:13 swung win probability 66% → 96%.
Why Stevenson Mustangs lost
- Lost Q1 5-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 24-0 run ending at Q3 5:16 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 37-5.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-2.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC Retrievers | 14–0 | Q1 3:13 | 66% → 96% |
| UMBC Retrievers | 9–0 | Q2 9:53 | 94% → 100% |
| UMBC Retrievers | 11–0 | Q2 3:16 | 100% → 100% |
| UMBC Retrievers | 24–0 | Q3 5:16 | 100% → 100% |
| UMBC Retrievers | 10–0 | Q4 7:20 | 100% → 100% |