West Florida Argonauts 51, East Tennessee State Buccaneers 73
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-03 · Winner: East Tennessee State Buccaneers
East Tennessee State Buccaneers defeated West Florida Argonauts 73–51 on 2026-11-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 22-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q3 6:14 swung win probability 64% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why West Florida Argonauts lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Florida Argonauts | 13 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 51 |
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 18 | 15 | 28 | 12 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q3 6:14 swung win probability 64% → 99%.
Why West Florida Argonauts lost
- Lost Q3 11-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q3 6:14 (win probability 64% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 34.1% eFG vs a 38.2% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 16-10.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 20-15.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 10–0 | Q1 6:52 | 55% → 86% |
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 14–0 | Q3 6:14 | 64% → 99% |
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 10–0 | Q3 0:10 | 98% → 100% |