North Florida Ospreys 63, Florida State Seminoles 74
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-05 · Winner: Florida State Seminoles
Florida State Seminoles defeated North Florida Ospreys 74–63 on 2026-11-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:19 swung win probability 55% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why North Florida Ospreys lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Florida Ospreys | 18 | 25 | 12 | 8 | 63 |
| Florida State Seminoles | 19 | 8 | 26 | 21 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:19 swung win probability 55% → 100%.
Why North Florida Ospreys lost
- Lost Q3 12-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 6:57 (win probability 3% → 22% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 22-13.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Florida Ospreys | 9–0 | Q2 7:16 | 65% → 27% |
| Florida State Seminoles | 9–0 | Q3 6:57 | 3% → 22% |
| Florida State Seminoles | 9–0 | Q3 1:50 | 9% → 50% |
| Florida State Seminoles | 9–0 | Q4 4:19 | 55% → 100% |
| Florida State Seminoles | 8–0 | Q4 0:17 | 98% → 100% |