Merrimack Warriors 51, Florida State Seminoles 81
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-02 · Winner: Florida State Seminoles
Florida State Seminoles defeated Merrimack Warriors 81–51 on 2026-11-02 in NCAA Women's play, a 30-point result. A 19-0 home team run ending at Q3 7:52 swung win probability 76% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Merrimack Warriors lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors | 15 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 51 |
| Florida State Seminoles | 16 | 22 | 29 | 14 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 19-0 home team run ending at Q3 7:52 swung win probability 76% → 100%.
Why Merrimack Warriors lost
- Lost Q3 9-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 20-0 run ending at Q3 1:15 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 34-10.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles | 19–0 | Q3 7:52 | 76% → 100% |
| Florida State Seminoles | 20–0 | Q3 1:15 | 100% → 100% |
| Merrimack Warriors | 8–0 | Q4 2:57 | 100% → 100% |