Niagara Purple Eagles 40, Fordham Rams 70
NCAA Women's · 2026-11-02 · Winner: Fordham Rams
Fordham Rams defeated Niagara Purple Eagles 70–40 on 2026-11-02 in NCAA Women's play, a 30-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:01 swung win probability 75% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Niagara Purple Eagles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niagara Purple Eagles | 7 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 |
| Fordham Rams | 20 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:01 swung win probability 75% → 95%.
Why Niagara Purple Eagles lost
- Lost Q1 7-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 3:08 (win probability 93% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 30.9% eFG vs a 36.6% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fordham Rams | 9–0 | Q1 0:01 | 75% → 95% |
| Fordham Rams | 12–0 | Q2 3:08 | 93% → 100% |