Illinois State Redbirds 41, Marshall Thundering Herd 66
NCAA Women's · 2026-04-04 · Winner: Marshall Thundering Herd
Marshall Thundering Herd defeated Illinois State Redbirds 66–41 on 2026-04-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 25-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 7:00 swung win probability 52% → 78%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Illinois State Redbirds lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 10 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 41 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 21 | 10 | 19 | 16 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 7:00 swung win probability 52% → 78%.
Why Illinois State Redbirds lost
- Lost Q1 10-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q3 5:31 (win probability 90% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 32.3% eFG vs a 49.1% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 23-13.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 8–0 | Q1 7:00 | 52% → 78% |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 14–0 | Q3 5:31 | 90% → 100% |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 10–0 | Q4 7:13 | 100% → 100% |