Montana State Bobcats 56, South Dakota Coyotes 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-29 · Winner: South Dakota Coyotes
South Dakota Coyotes defeated Montana State Bobcats 65–56 on 2026-03-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 9:50 swung win probability 77% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Montana State Bobcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | 8 | 10 | 24 | 14 | 56 |
| South Dakota Coyotes | 8 | 20 | 17 | 20 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 9:50 swung win probability 77% → 96%.
Why Montana State Bobcats lost
- Lost Q2 10-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 9:50 (win probability 77% → 96% for the home side).
- Shot 38.5% eFG vs a 46.6% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Dakota Coyotes | 8–0 | Q3 9:50 | 77% → 96% |
| Montana State Bobcats | 9–0 | Q3 6:10 | 97% → 78% |