Abilene Christian Wildcats 55, Illinois State Redbirds 59
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-27 · Winner: Illinois State Redbirds
Illinois State Redbirds defeated Abilene Christian Wildcats 59–55 on 2026-03-27 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:06 swung win probability 6% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Abilene Christian Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 17 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 55 |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 13 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:06 swung win probability 6% → 100%.
Why Abilene Christian Wildcats lost
- Lost Q4 10-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 3:56 (win probability 24% → 60% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 19-14.
- Outscored 12-2 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 10–0 | Q1 3:37 | 51% → 16% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 9–0 | Q2 3:56 | 24% → 60% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 9–0 | Q4 0:06 | 6% → 100% |