Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons 72, Arkansas State Red Wolves 83
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-27 · Winner: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves defeated Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons 83–72 on 2026-03-27 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 7:13 swung win probability 66% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 22 | 10 | 17 | 23 | 72 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 32 | 23 | 17 | 11 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 7:13 swung win probability 66% → 94%.
Why Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons lost
- Lost Q2 10-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 7:13 (win probability 66% → 94% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 26-18.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 12–0 | Q1 7:13 | 66% → 94% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 8–0 | Q2 4:18 | 91% → 99% |
| Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 8–0 | Q4 8:50 | 100% → 100% |
| Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 11–0 | Q4 6:40 | 100% → 100% |