Southern Utah Thunderbirds 80, Pepperdine Waves 85
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-22 · Winner: Pepperdine Waves
Pepperdine Waves defeated Southern Utah Thunderbirds 85–80 on 2026-03-22 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q4 5:02 swung win probability 95% → 34%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 12 | 26 | 22 | 20 | 80 |
| Pepperdine Waves | 26 | 19 | 23 | 17 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q4 5:02 swung win probability 95% → 34%.
Why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost
- Lost Q1 12-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q2 9:50 (win probability 62% → 98% for the home side).
- Outscored 25-14 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pepperdine Waves | 17–0 | Q2 9:50 | 62% → 98% |
| Pepperdine Waves | 8–0 | Q3 6:51 | 88% → 99% |
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 9–0 | Q3 2:50 | 100% → 93% |
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 10–0 | Q4 5:02 | 95% → 34% |