St. Bonaventure Bonnies 50, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 69
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-23 · Winner: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders defeated St. Bonaventure Bonnies 69–50 on 2026-03-23 in NCAA Women's play, a 19-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:22 swung win probability 60% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why St. Bonaventure Bonnies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 10 | 17 | 16 | 7 | 50 |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 18 | 21 | 15 | 15 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:22 swung win probability 60% → 90%.
Why St. Bonaventure Bonnies lost
- Lost Q1 10-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 6:14 (win probability 69% → 91% for the home side).
- Shot 41.1% eFG vs a 45.7% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 12-4 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 9–0 | Q1 6:14 | 69% → 91% |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 8–0 | Q2 6:19 | 87% → 60% |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 9–0 | Q2 4:22 | 60% → 90% |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 8–0 | Q2 1:43 | 86% → 98% |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 10–0 | Q3 4:02 | 99% → 84% |