UMBC Retrievers 53, Marshall Thundering Herd 66
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-23 · Winner: Marshall Thundering Herd
Marshall Thundering Herd defeated UMBC Retrievers 66–53 on 2026-03-23 in NCAA Women's play, a 13-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 9:42 swung win probability 69% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UMBC Retrievers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC Retrievers | 12 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 53 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 12 | 14 | 20 | 20 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 9:42 swung win probability 69% → 99%.
Why UMBC Retrievers lost
- Lost Q3 14-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 9:42 (win probability 69% → 99% for the home side).
- Outscored 13-5 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 9–0 | Q4 9:42 | 69% → 99% |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 9–0 | Q4 0:16 | 92% → 100% |