UC Davis Aggies 68, Pepperdine Waves 71
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-19 · Winner: Pepperdine Waves
Pepperdine Waves defeated UC Davis Aggies 71–68 on 2026-03-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:35 swung win probability 46% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC Davis Aggies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | 21 | 15 | 18 | 14 | 68 |
| Pepperdine Waves | 19 | 20 | 13 | 19 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:35 swung win probability 46% → 100%.
Why UC Davis Aggies lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q1 1:50 (win probability 34% → 65% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 10-5.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pepperdine Waves | 8–0 | Q1 1:50 | 34% → 65% |
| Pepperdine Waves | 8–0 | Q4 2:35 | 46% → 100% |
| UC Davis Aggies | 8–0 | Q4 0:06 | 100% → 50% |