St. John's Red Storm 26, Columbia Lions 74
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-19 · Winner: Columbia Lions
Columbia Lions defeated St. John's Red Storm 74–26 on 2026-03-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 48-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:22 swung win probability 75% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why St. John's Red Storm lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 4 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 26 |
| Columbia Lions | 20 | 22 | 20 | 12 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:22 swung win probability 75% → 95%.
Why St. John's Red Storm lost
- Lost Q1 4-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q3 8:48 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 27.2% eFG vs a 49.0% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 27-12.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia Lions | 9–0 | Q1 3:22 | 75% → 95% |
| Columbia Lions | 8–0 | Q2 7:54 | 92% → 99% |
| Columbia Lions | 11–0 | Q3 8:48 | 100% → 100% |
| Columbia Lions | 10–0 | Q3 2:28 | 100% → 100% |
| Columbia Lions | 8–0 | Q4 3:36 | 100% → 100% |