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UC Irvine Anteaters 55, San Diego State Aztecs 61

NCAA Women's · 2026-03-19 · Winner: San Diego State Aztecs

San Diego State Aztecs defeated UC Irvine Anteaters 61–55 on 2026-03-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:14 swung win probability 25% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC Irvine Anteaters lost.

Linescore

Q1Q2Q3Q4Final
UC Irvine Anteaters149191355
San Diego State Aztecs1411181861

Win probability

San Diego State Aztecs win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (San Diego State Aztecs) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:14 swung win probability 25% → 100%.
Why UC Irvine Anteaters lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
San Diego State Aztecs9–0Q2 6:4061% → 90%
San Diego State Aztecs8–0Q4 9:3724% → 76%
San Diego State Aztecs8–0Q4 0:1425% → 100%

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