UC Irvine Anteaters 55, San Diego State Aztecs 61
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-19 · Winner: San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs defeated UC Irvine Anteaters 61–55 on 2026-03-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:14 swung win probability 25% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC Irvine Anteaters lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Irvine Anteaters | 14 | 9 | 19 | 13 | 55 |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 14 | 11 | 18 | 18 | 61 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:14 swung win probability 25% → 100%.
Why UC Irvine Anteaters lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 6:40 (win probability 61% → 90% for the home side).
- Shot 40.4% eFG vs a 47.4% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 9–0 | Q2 6:40 | 61% → 90% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 8–0 | Q4 9:37 | 24% → 76% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 8–0 | Q4 0:14 | 25% → 100% |