Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks 75, Missouri State Lady Bears 85
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-18 · Winner: Missouri State Lady Bears
Missouri State Lady Bears defeated Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks 85–75 on 2026-03-18 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:55 swung win probability 50% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | 21 | 22 | 18 | 14 | 75 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 24 | 23 | 28 | 10 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:55 swung win probability 50% → 86%.
Why Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks lost
- Lost Q3 18-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q3 5:40 (win probability 69% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 43.1% eFG vs a 50.6% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-11.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 11–0 | Q1 2:04 | 69% → 95% |
| Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | 10–0 | Q1 0:33 | 95% → 72% |
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 9–0 | Q2 1:55 | 50% → 86% |
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 13–0 | Q3 5:40 | 69% → 99% |