Tarleton State Texans 65, Abilene Christian Wildcats 68
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-03 · Winner: Abilene Christian Wildcats
Abilene Christian Wildcats defeated Tarleton State Texans 68–65 on 2026-02-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 15-0 road team run ending at Q2 5:23 swung win probability 82% → 22%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Tarleton State Texans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarleton State Texans | 17 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 65 |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 21 | 14 | 22 | 11 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 road team run ending at Q2 5:23 swung win probability 82% → 22%.
Why Tarleton State Texans lost
- Lost Q3 14-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q3 0:11 (win probability 38% → 95% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 23-19.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 8–0 | Q1 5:36 | 55% → 81% |
| Tarleton State Texans | 15–0 | Q2 5:23 | 82% → 22% |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 11–0 | Q3 0:11 | 38% → 95% |
| Tarleton State Texans | 9–0 | Q4 7:29 | 95% → 47% |