Duke Blue Devils 58, UCLA Bruins 70
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-29 · Winner: UCLA Bruins
UCLA Bruins defeated Duke Blue Devils 70–58 on 2026-03-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 1:51 swung win probability 30% → 80%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Duke Blue Devils lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 21 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 58 |
| UCLA Bruins | 17 | 14 | 20 | 19 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 1:51 swung win probability 30% → 80%.
Why Duke Blue Devils lost
- Lost Q3 8-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 1:51 (win probability 30% → 80% for the home side).
- Shot 39.5% eFG vs a 48.7% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 8–0 | Q2 4:10 | 52% → 17% |
| UCLA Bruins | 9–0 | Q3 1:51 | 30% → 80% |