Virginia Cavaliers 69, TCU Horned Frogs 79
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-28 · Winner: TCU Horned Frogs
TCU Horned Frogs defeated Virginia Cavaliers 79–69 on 2026-03-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:59 swung win probability 54% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Virginia Cavaliers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 21 | 15 | 11 | 22 | 69 |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 17 | 18 | 24 | 20 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:59 swung win probability 54% → 95%.
Why Virginia Cavaliers lost
- Lost Q3 11-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q3 5:59 (win probability 54% → 95% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 8–0 | Q1 5:05 | 81% → 54% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 11–0 | Q3 5:59 | 54% → 95% |