Louisville Cardinals 52, Michigan Wolverines 71
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-28 · Winner: Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines defeated Louisville Cardinals 71–52 on 2026-03-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 19-point result. A 16-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:10 swung win probability 16% → 81%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Louisville Cardinals lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals | 15 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 52 |
| Michigan Wolverines | 9 | 23 | 25 | 14 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:10 swung win probability 16% → 81%.
Why Louisville Cardinals lost
- Lost Q3 13-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 18-0 run ending at Q3 0:33 (win probability 51% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 37.7% eFG vs a 51.5% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 11-3 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | 16–0 | Q2 1:10 | 16% → 81% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 18–0 | Q3 0:33 | 51% → 100% |