Duke Blue Devils 87, LSU Tigers 85
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-27 · Winner: Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils defeated LSU Tigers 87–85 on 2026-03-27 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:09 swung win probability 0% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why LSU Tigers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 24 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 87 |
| LSU Tigers | 19 | 21 | 25 | 20 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:09 swung win probability 0% → 91%.
Why LSU Tigers lost
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q4 7:35 (win probability 56% → 2% for the home side).
- Shot 48.6% eFG vs a 54.8% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 20-15.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 9–0 | Q1 6:07 | 69% → 36% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 11–0 | Q4 7:35 | 56% → 2% |
| LSU Tigers | 10–0 | Q4 0:09 | 0% → 91% |