Virginia Cavaliers 83, Iowa Hawkeyes 75
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-23 · Winner: Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers defeated Iowa Hawkeyes 83–75 on 2026-03-23 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at OT2 1:58 swung win probability 54% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Iowa Hawkeyes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | OT2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 13 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 83 |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 13 | 10 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at OT2 1:58 swung win probability 54% → 0%.
Why Iowa Hawkeyes lost
- Lost Q4 9-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at OT2 1:58 (win probability 54% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 39.9% eFG vs a 53.7% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 18-8 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 8–0 | Q2 1:51 | 65% → 33% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 8–0 | Q4 6:29 | 92% → 64% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 9–0 | OT2 1:58 | 54% → 0% |