California Baptist Lancers 43, UCLA Bruins 96
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-21 · Winner: UCLA Bruins
UCLA Bruins defeated California Baptist Lancers 96–43 on 2026-03-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 53-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:34 swung win probability 50% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why California Baptist Lancers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 15 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 43 |
| UCLA Bruins | 23 | 21 | 31 | 21 | 96 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:34 swung win probability 50% → 84%.
Why California Baptist Lancers lost
- Lost Q3 4-31 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 19-0 run ending at Q4 1:27 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 29.7% eFG vs a 47.5% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 21-5 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 21-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA Bruins | 10–0 | Q1 2:34 | 50% → 84% |
| UCLA Bruins | 8–0 | Q2 9:11 | 76% → 94% |
| UCLA Bruins | 15–0 | Q3 7:46 | 84% → 100% |
| UCLA Bruins | 14–0 | Q3 0:00 | 100% → 100% |
| UCLA Bruins | 19–0 | Q4 1:27 | 100% → 100% |