Vermont Catamounts 52, Louisville Cardinals 72
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-21 · Winner: Louisville Cardinals
Louisville Cardinals defeated Vermont Catamounts 72–52 on 2026-03-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 20-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 4:19 swung win probability 69% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Vermont Catamounts lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vermont Catamounts | 17 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 52 |
| Louisville Cardinals | 16 | 16 | 23 | 17 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 4:19 swung win probability 69% → 97%.
Why Vermont Catamounts lost
- Lost Q3 10-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 9:20 (win probability 99% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 14-8.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals | 9–0 | Q3 4:19 | 69% → 97% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 10–0 | Q4 9:20 | 99% → 100% |