UC San Diego Tritons 40, TCU Horned Frogs 86
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-20 · Winner: TCU Horned Frogs
TCU Horned Frogs defeated UC San Diego Tritons 86–40 on 2026-03-20 in NCAA Women's play, a 46-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 7:57 swung win probability 66% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC San Diego Tritons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego Tritons | 12 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 40 |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 24 | 24 | 16 | 22 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 7:57 swung win probability 66% → 88%.
Why UC San Diego Tritons lost
- Lost Q4 7-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 19-0 run ending at Q4 0:37 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 25.8% eFG vs a 47.0% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 8–0 | Q1 7:57 | 66% → 88% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 10–0 | Q2 7:26 | 91% → 99% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 10–0 | Q2 3:55 | 100% → 100% |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 10–0 | Q2 0:06 | 100% → 100% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 19–0 | Q4 0:37 | 100% → 100% |