Tennessee Lady Volunteers 61, NC State Wolfpack 76
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-20 · Winner: NC State Wolfpack
NC State Wolfpack defeated Tennessee Lady Volunteers 76–61 on 2026-03-20 in NCAA Women's play, a 15-point result. A 15-0 home team run ending at Q1 4:59 swung win probability 62% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Tennessee Lady Volunteers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 19 | 10 | 19 | 13 | 61 |
| NC State Wolfpack | 26 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 home team run ending at Q1 4:59 swung win probability 62% → 96%.
Why Tennessee Lady Volunteers lost
- Lost Q1 19-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q1 4:59 (win probability 62% → 96% for the home side).
- Shot 37.7% eFG vs a 47.9% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 21-6 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack | 15–0 | Q1 4:59 | 62% → 96% |
| Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 10–0 | Q1 2:56 | 96% → 79% |
| NC State Wolfpack | 8–0 | Q4 9:46 | 75% → 99% |