Western Illinois Leathernecks 51, North Carolina Tar Heels 82
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-20 · Winner: North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Western Illinois Leathernecks 82–51 on 2026-03-20 in NCAA Women's play, a 31-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:12 swung win probability 100% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Western Illinois Leathernecks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Illinois Leathernecks | 10 | 14 | 9 | 18 | 51 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 18 | 20 | 20 | 24 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:12 swung win probability 100% → 100%.
Why Western Illinois Leathernecks lost
- Lost Q3 9-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q4 0:12 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 32.1% eFG vs a 50.3% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 8–0 | Q4 0:12 | 100% → 100% |