Toledo Rockets 58, Miami (OH) RedHawks 68
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-14 · Winner: Miami (OH) RedHawks
Miami (OH) RedHawks defeated Toledo Rockets 68–58 on 2026-03-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:46 swung win probability 69% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Toledo Rockets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets | 6 | 10 | 24 | 18 | 58 |
| Miami (OH) RedHawks | 16 | 12 | 19 | 21 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:46 swung win probability 69% → 97%.
Why Toledo Rockets lost
- Lost Q1 6-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q1 2:46 (win probability 69% → 97% for the home side).
- Shot 40.2% eFG vs a 46.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-13.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (OH) RedHawks | 14–0 | Q1 2:46 | 69% → 97% |
| Miami (OH) RedHawks | 10–0 | Q2 6:14 | 91% → 99% |
| Toledo Rockets | 8–0 | Q3 9:14 | 99% → 94% |