Toledo Rockets 67, Massachusetts Minutewomen 56
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-11 · Winner: Toledo Rockets
Toledo Rockets defeated Massachusetts Minutewomen 67–56 on 2026-03-11 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 14-0 road team run ending at Q1 6:21 swung win probability 69% → 20%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Massachusetts Minutewomen lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets | 21 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 67 |
| Massachusetts Minutewomen | 12 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 56 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 road team run ending at Q1 6:21 swung win probability 69% → 20%.
Why Massachusetts Minutewomen lost
- Lost Q1 12-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q1 6:21 (win probability 69% → 20% for the home side).
- Shot 33.6% eFG vs a 47.2% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets | 14–0 | Q1 6:21 | 69% → 20% |
| Massachusetts Minutewomen | 8–0 | Q1 2:30 | 19% → 45% |
| Toledo Rockets | 8–0 | Q2 8:56 | 45% → 15% |
| Massachusetts Minutewomen | 10–0 | Q3 1:21 | 3% → 30% |