San Francisco Dons 86, Pepperdine Waves 69
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: San Francisco Dons
San Francisco Dons defeated Pepperdine Waves 86–69 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 15-0 road team run ending at Q2 7:48 swung win probability 37% → 2%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Pepperdine Waves lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Dons | 28 | 15 | 21 | 22 | 86 |
| Pepperdine Waves | 14 | 16 | 17 | 22 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 road team run ending at Q2 7:48 swung win probability 37% → 2%.
Why Pepperdine Waves lost
- Lost Q1 14-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q2 7:48 (win probability 37% → 2% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 17-12.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Dons | 15–0 | Q2 7:48 | 37% → 2% |
| San Francisco Dons | 8–0 | Q3 7:42 | 6% → 0% |
| Pepperdine Waves | 8–0 | Q3 2:22 | 0% → 3% |
| San Francisco Dons | 8–0 | Q4 2:57 | 0% → 0% |