Tarleton State Texans 60, California Baptist Lancers 77
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-13 · Winner: California Baptist Lancers
California Baptist Lancers defeated Tarleton State Texans 77–60 on 2026-03-13 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:09 swung win probability 59% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Tarleton State Texans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarleton State Texans | 8 | 22 | 12 | 18 | 60 |
| California Baptist Lancers | 22 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:09 swung win probability 59% → 86%.
Why Tarleton State Texans lost
- Lost Q1 8-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 6:09 (win probability 59% → 86% for the home side).
- Shot 35.8% eFG vs a 44.6% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 9–0 | Q1 6:09 | 59% → 86% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 8–0 | Q3 8:06 | 92% → 99% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 8–0 | Q3 0:53 | 97% → 100% |