UT Arlington Mavericks 70, Southern Utah Thunderbirds 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-12 · Winner: UT Arlington Mavericks
UT Arlington Mavericks defeated Southern Utah Thunderbirds 70–65 on 2026-03-12 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 16-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:43 swung win probability 48% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT Arlington Mavericks | 15 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 70 |
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 20 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:43 swung win probability 48% → 93%.
Why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost
- Shot 42.5% eFG vs a 47.6% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 16–0 | Q1 3:43 | 48% → 93% |