Southern Jaguars 73, Alabama State Lady Hornets 56
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-14 · Winner: Southern Jaguars
Southern Jaguars defeated Alabama State Lady Hornets 73–56 on 2026-03-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q1 2:52 swung win probability 55% → 21%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Alabama State Lady Hornets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Jaguars | 17 | 24 | 17 | 15 | 73 |
| Alabama State Lady Hornets | 8 | 11 | 23 | 14 | 56 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q1 2:52 swung win probability 55% → 21%.
Why Alabama State Lady Hornets lost
- Lost Q2 11-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 2:52 (win probability 55% → 21% for the home side).
- Shot 30.8% eFG vs a 42.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Jaguars | 9–0 | Q1 2:52 | 55% → 21% |
| Alabama State Lady Hornets | 9–0 | Q3 5:57 | 1% → 6% |