Jackson State Lady Tigers 51, Southern Jaguars 64
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-12 · Winner: Southern Jaguars
Southern Jaguars defeated Jackson State Lady Tigers 64–51 on 2026-03-12 in NCAA Women's play, a 13-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:19 swung win probability 78% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Jackson State Lady Tigers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson State Lady Tigers | 7 | 9 | 20 | 15 | 51 |
| Southern Jaguars | 18 | 20 | 15 | 11 | 64 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:19 swung win probability 78% → 95%.
Why Jackson State Lady Tigers lost
- Lost Q1 7-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 0:59 (win probability 98% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 36.0% eFG vs a 40.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 28-13.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Jaguars | 8–0 | Q1 2:19 | 78% → 95% |
| Southern Jaguars | 9–0 | Q2 0:59 | 98% → 100% |
| Jackson State Lady Tigers | 10–0 | Q3 6:23 | 100% → 99% |