James Madison Dukes 69, Troy Trojans 52
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-09 · Winner: James Madison Dukes
James Madison Dukes defeated Troy Trojans 69–52 on 2026-03-09 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q1 6:53 swung win probability 55% → 17%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Troy Trojans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 20 | 14 | 24 | 11 | 69 |
| Troy Trojans | 12 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 52 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q1 6:53 swung win probability 55% → 17%.
Why Troy Trojans lost
- Lost Q3 14-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q1 6:53 (win probability 55% → 17% for the home side).
- Shot 31.1% eFG vs a 46.3% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 16-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 11–0 | Q1 6:53 | 55% → 17% |
| James Madison Dukes | 8–0 | Q4 6:25 | 1% → 0% |