South Alabama Jaguars 54, James Madison Dukes 79
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: James Madison Dukes
James Madison Dukes defeated South Alabama Jaguars 79–54 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 25-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:49 swung win probability 58% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why South Alabama Jaguars lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 8 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 54 |
| James Madison Dukes | 28 | 20 | 22 | 9 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:49 swung win probability 58% → 86%.
Why South Alabama Jaguars lost
- Lost Q1 8-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q1 1:10 (win probability 81% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 38.0% eFG vs a 46.7% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 9–0 | Q1 6:49 | 58% → 86% |
| James Madison Dukes | 13–0 | Q1 1:10 | 81% → 99% |
| James Madison Dukes | 10–0 | Q2 4:44 | 100% → 100% |
| James Madison Dukes | 10–0 | Q3 0:30 | 100% → 100% |