South Alabama Jaguars 73, Marshall Thundering Herd 58
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-06 · Winner: South Alabama Jaguars
South Alabama Jaguars defeated Marshall Thundering Herd 73–58 on 2026-03-06 in NCAA Women's play, a 15-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 1:04 swung win probability 45% → 10%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Marshall Thundering Herd lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 16 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 73 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 10 | 14 | 22 | 12 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 1:04 swung win probability 45% → 10%.
Why Marshall Thundering Herd lost
- Lost Q1 10-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 1:04 (win probability 45% → 10% for the home side).
- Shot 36.6% eFG vs a 50.2% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 23-6 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 9–0 | Q2 1:04 | 45% → 10% |