App State Mountaineers 57, South Alabama Jaguars 68
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-03 · Winner: South Alabama Jaguars
South Alabama Jaguars defeated App State Mountaineers 68–57 on 2026-03-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:13 swung win probability 40% → 80%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why App State Mountaineers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| App State Mountaineers | 10 | 21 | 20 | 6 | 57 |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 12 | 24 | 14 | 18 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:13 swung win probability 40% → 80%.
Why App State Mountaineers lost
- Lost Q4 6-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q4 3:16 (win probability 71% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 17-13.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 9–0 | Q2 1:13 | 40% → 80% |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 11–0 | Q4 3:16 | 71% → 100% |