St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies 51, North Dakota State Bison 63
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: North Dakota State Bison
North Dakota State Bison defeated St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies 63–51 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:19 swung win probability 33% → 72%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 15 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 51 |
| North Dakota State Bison | 12 | 12 | 18 | 21 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:19 swung win probability 33% → 72%.
Why St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies lost
- Lost Q4 14-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 7:19 (win probability 33% → 72% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 22-14.
- Outscored 14-3 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison | 10–0 | Q2 7:19 | 33% → 72% |
| North Dakota State Bison | 10–0 | Q4 8:45 | 76% → 100% |